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Accel reportedly in talks to lead $1B round for Thinking Machines at $40B valuation

ID
21175
Status
summarized
Published
04 Sep 2026, 3:36 AM
Fetched
04 Sep 2026, 4:02 AM
Provider
TechCrunch
Category
technology
Original URL
https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/03/accel-reportedly-in-talks-to-lead-1b-round-for-thinking-machines-at-40b-valuation/
Source URL
https://techcrunch.com/feed/

Summary

Score
5.5
Created
04 Sep 2026, 4:04 AM
Tags
Audience
saas_foundersai_ml_learnersdevelopers

What happened

Accel is in talks to lead a $1B round for Thinking Machines Lab, the AI startup founded by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati, at a $40B valuation—down from the $50B it reportedly sought. The company has over $100M ARR, implying a ~400x revenue multiple, and recently launched Inkling, an open-weight model monetized via usage-based compute fees on its Tinker platform for adapting models on proprietary data. Several co-founders, including Lilian Weng and Luke Metz, have returned to OpenAI.

Why it matters

For SaaS founders, the 400x revenue multiple signals that investors are still pricing AI labs on talent and platform potential rather than revenue, which affects how you benchmark your own AI startup's positioning. For developers, Inkling and the Tinker platform represent a concrete open-weight option for proprietary-data fine-tuning with usage-based pricing worth evaluating against alternatives like OpenAI or Anthropic offerings.

Discussion angle

Is a 400x revenue multiple at $100M ARR sustainable for an AI lab that has lost co-founders back to OpenAI, and what does that imply about the gap between investor sentiment and actual product traction for builders choosing which model ecosystem to commit to?

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