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17 Aug 2026, 8:27 PMThe Register7.5 Agentic AI costs set to balloon fivefold by 2028

Gartner forecasts agentic AI workflow costs will rise more than fivefold by end of 2028 because complex agent workflows consume far more tokens than chatbots, outweighing per-token price drops. Routing a single task to an agentic reasoning model increases inference costs at least fivefold, and usage-based billing models make runaway costs worse. Gartner separately predicted 40% of organizations will demote or decommission AI agents due to these and other problems.

Why: If you are building or budgeting AI agents, do not assume falling token prices will keep your costs flat—agent workflows that constantly reason, route, and self-question multiply token consumption. You should plan for model routing (assigning each task to the cheapest capable model) and set hard cost guardrails before deploying agents under usage-based billing, or expect bills to scale non-linearly with workflow complexity.

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